Flash report · July 01 – July 19, 2026 · 3,177 orders
Cash updated Jul 21, 2026▲ second straight week above floor — but the forecast turns sharply negative from next week (see Tracker)
vs. $100,000/wk target · gross sales (product + shipping + protection)
19-day payout window · MTD ÷ 19 days × 7
Ad spend ($59,099) covers all 3,430 orders in the period; revenue here is the 3,177 payout-matched orders. Over a 19-day window these sets are close (≈93%), so CM is a fair read — see note.
Secondary metrics
Financial tracker · July 01 – July 19, 2026 · 3,177 orders
Section 1 · Ending Cash — 4 actuals + 8 forecast weeks
The latest actual week (Jul 13) ended at $110,555, a second straight week above the $100K floor. The forecast then drops hard: $67,872 (Jul 20) and negative from the week of Jul 27 onward — −$87,471 (Jul 27), −$103,876 (Aug 3), down to a projected low of −$115,819 the week of Aug 31. This is a sharp deterioration versus last week's model, driven by scheduled outflows landing against thinner projected deposits. Because the forecast rows lean on a rolling-average pattern, validate deposit timing and the late-July/August card, payroll and inventory paydowns before treating these figures as final. Reflects the 13-Week Cash Flow model as of Jul 21.
Ending cash by week
Section 2 · Truncated P&L
| Revenue | % of gross | USD |
| Product gross sales | 90.3% | $229,149 |
| Shipping income | 7.7% | $19,460 |
| Package protection | 2.0% | $5,130 |
| Gross sales | 100% | $253,739 |
| Cost of goods & direct costs | ||
| Discounts | 21.5% | −$54,528 |
| Product cost (COGS) | 22.5% | −$57,068 |
| Fulfillment (ShipBob) UNDERSTATED | 8.3% | −$21,075 |
| CC / merchant fees | 2.3% | −$5,940 |
| Returns PARTIAL | 1.7% | −$4,273 |
| Packaging materials GAP | — | — |
| Bundle SKU costs PARTIAL | — | — |
| Product margin | 43.7% | $110,855 |
| Marketing | ||
| Ad spend (Lifetimely) | 23.3% | −$59,099 |
| Contribution margin (goal 23.0%) | 20.4% | $51,756 |
Every line above Product margin is filtered to the 3,177 payout-matched orders; ad spend is the exception — it's the Lifetimely actual for all 3,430 orders placed in the period. Over a 19-day window these two order sets are close (≈93%), so the basis mismatch is modest and contribution margin (20.4%) is a fair read, though it sits 2.6 pts under the 23% goal — driven mainly by a heavier discount load (21.5% of gross) and marketing running at 23.3% of gross. Fulfillment coverage is much better than recent short windows: only 155 of the payout-matched orders have no ShipBob line yet, so fulfillment is understated by an estimated ~$1.1K and product margin (43.7%) is only marginally overstated.
Section 3 · Revenue flow
How gross sales becomes contribution margin
Month in review · June 01 – June 30, 2026 · 4,787 orders
Full month · Lifetimely + payout-matchedContribution margin came in at 25.9% — 2.9 pts above the 23% goal — on $395,656 of gross sales across 4,787 orders. The soft spot was liquidity: the month ended at $13,060, well below the $100K cash floor, which is what the weekly Flash Report and Tracker tabs pick up from here. Full-month order set, so the ad-spend basis mismatch that distorts short weekly windows largely washes out.
Core metrics
vs. $100,000/wk target · gross sales (product + shipping + protection)
before marketing
after COGS, fulfillment, fees, returns & ad spend
Secondary metrics
Truncated P&L
| Revenue | % of gross | USD |
| Product gross sales | 90.5% | $358,225 |
| Shipping income | 7.6% | $30,000 |
| Package protection | 1.9% | $7,432 |
| Gross sales | 100% | $395,656 |
| Cost of goods & direct costs | ||
| Discounts | 22.7% | −$89,705 |
| Product cost (COGS) | 19.2% | −$76,143 |
| Fulfillment (ShipBob) | 7.9% | −$31,102 |
| CC / merchant fees | 2.3% | −$9,062 |
| Returns PARTIAL | 1.8% | −$7,159 |
| Packaging materials GAP | — | — |
| Bundle SKU costs PARTIAL | — | — |
| Product margin | 46.1% | $182,486 |
| Marketing | ||
| Ad spend (Lifetimely actual) | 20.2% | −$80,106 |
| Contribution margin (goal 23.0%) | 25.9% | $102,380 |
Revenue flow
How gross sales becomes contribution margin
Other files · key links
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