Flash report · July 01 – July 31, 2026 · 5,122 orders
Cash updated Aug 4, 2026▼ $8,883 drawn down in the week — a third straight weekly decline from the $110,555 peak on Jul 13. Last actual week in the model (Jul 27 – Aug 2), reconciled to QBO. No forecast week regains the floor — see Tracker.
vs. $100,000/wk target · gross sales (product + shipping + protection)
Full 31-day payout window · MTD ÷ 31 days × 7 · a clean improvement on last week's $94,495/wk read
Improved from 19.6% last week. Ad spend ($100,859) is Lifetimely's full-July actual across 5,671 orders; revenue here is the 5,122 payout-matched orders — a 90% overlap, so this reads conservative. On a like-for-like basis CM is ≈22.5% SEE NOTE
Secondary metrics
Financial tracker · July 01 – July 31, 2026 · 5,122 orders
Cash model updated Aug 4, 2026Section 1 · Ending Cash — 4 actuals + 8 forecast weeks
The latest actual week (Mon Jul 27 – Sun Aug 2) closed at $69,573, down $8,883 on the week and $30,427 below the floor — a third consecutive decline from the $110,555 peak on Jul 13. Cash then drops to $26,895 the week of Aug 3, recovers to $63,159, and falls away again: −$89,695 (Aug 31), −$87,883 (Sep 7) and −$96,589 (Sep 21). No forecast week in the horizon reaches $100K; the best is $63,159.
What's driving it. Operating cash flow is positive in every forecast week (+$12.6K to +$135.3K) — the deficit is almost entirely debt and card repayment. Four large keyed payments do the damage: $64,756 Amex (wk Aug 3, alongside $26,783 of inventory printing), $147,167 Amex (wk Aug 17, which absorbs a $132K income week), $145,434 Shopify Credit Card (wk Aug 31) and $150,000 Amex (wk Sep 21). Financing outflows total $636K across the 8 forecast weeks against $723K of projected income.
Ending cash by week
Section 2 · Truncated P&L
| Revenue | % of gross | USD |
| Product gross sales | 91.4% | $403,220 |
| Shipping income | 6.8% | $29,818 |
| Package protection | 1.9% | $8,229 |
| Gross sales | 100% | $441,267 |
| Cost of goods & direct costs | ||
| Discounts | 23.0% | −$101,390 |
| Product cost (COGS) | 21.9% | −$96,477 |
| Fulfillment (ShipBob) UNDERSTATED | 7.8% | −$34,633 |
| CC / merchant fees | 2.3% | −$10,084 |
| Returns PARTIAL | 1.8% | −$8,154 |
| Packaging materials GAP | — | — |
| Bundle SKU costs PARTIAL | — | — |
| Product margin | 43.2% | $190,528 |
| Marketing | ||
| Ad spend (Lifetimely actual) ALL ORDERS | 22.9% | −$100,859 |
| Contribution margin (goal 23.0%) | 20.3% | $89,669 |
Every line above Product margin is filtered to the 5,122 payout-matched orders; ad spend is the exception — it's the Lifetimely actual for all 5,671 orders placed in July. Because a full calendar month of payouts still lags the last few days of orders, the overlap is 90% this period (it was ≈95% on the shorter Jul 1–26 window), so the mismatch runs against reported CM: 100% of the month's ad spend is charged against 90% of the month's revenue. Scaling the payout-matched revenue up to the full 5,671-order set puts contribution margin at roughly $110K / 22.5% — still short of the 23% goal, but only just. Either way the direction is good: CM improved from 19.6% last week as marketing eased to 22.9% of gross (from 23.9%) and blended ROAS recovered to 3.70× from 3.37×. Product margin held at 43.2% (43.5% last week). The pressure point is discounting, which crept up to 23.0% of gross — now the single largest cost line in the P&L, ahead of ad spend.
Section 3 · Revenue flow
How gross sales becomes contribution margin
Month in review · June 01 – June 30, 2026 · 4,787 orders
Full month · Lifetimely + payout-matchedContribution margin came in at 25.9% — 2.9 pts above the 23% goal — on $395,656 of gross sales across 4,787 orders. The soft spot was liquidity: the month ended at $13,060, well below the $100K cash floor, which is what the weekly Flash Report and Tracker tabs pick up from here. Full-month order set, so the ad-spend basis mismatch that distorts short weekly windows largely washes out.
Core metrics
vs. $100,000/wk target · gross sales (product + shipping + protection)
before marketing
after COGS, fulfillment, fees, returns & ad spend
Secondary metrics
Truncated P&L
| Revenue | % of gross | USD |
| Product gross sales | 90.5% | $358,225 |
| Shipping income | 7.6% | $30,000 |
| Package protection | 1.9% | $7,432 |
| Gross sales | 100% | $395,656 |
| Cost of goods & direct costs | ||
| Discounts | 22.7% | −$89,705 |
| Product cost (COGS) | 19.2% | −$76,143 |
| Fulfillment (ShipBob) | 7.9% | −$31,102 |
| CC / merchant fees | 2.3% | −$9,062 |
| Returns PARTIAL | 1.8% | −$7,159 |
| Packaging materials GAP | — | — |
| Bundle SKU costs PARTIAL | — | — |
| Product margin | 46.1% | $182,486 |
| Marketing | ||
| Ad spend (Lifetimely actual) | 20.2% | −$80,106 |
| Contribution margin (goal 23.0%) | 25.9% | $102,380 |
Revenue flow
How gross sales becomes contribution margin
Other files · key links
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